Friday, March 30, 2012

Kauai visitation on the rise

Thought some of you mind find this interesting, in either a good or not-so-good way. Posting here because Kaua`i saw the most notable increase in visitors last year - more than any other island. Give-or-take it was around 90,000 more visitors.





O`ahu dropped for the second time since 2005. Maui and the Big Island of Hawai`i also both increased, most notably on the BI. It%26#39;s interesting that the O`ahu drop alone caused 2007 to be slightly below 2006. No doubt the economy is likely playing a role on that.





But Kaua`i definitely seems to be getting more popular with visitors. No doubt the Po`ipu development won%26#39;t help things (but that%26#39;s another debate).





Just thought it was interesting. I usually keep an eye on it out of sheer interest. Here%26#39;s a few more graphics I%26#39;ve put together if you%26#39;re interested. Really wish we could embed thumbnails here sometimes.



hawaii-guide.com/index.php/…



Kauai visitation on the rise


When do you estimate Hawaii mile by mile will be available?



biker



Kauai visitation on the rise


I%26#39;ll PM you.




And we were part of it. Wonder if they break it down somewhere into new visitors and repeat visitors. Know they ask that question on the form you complete on the plane.




Shanty...





Unfortunately the State Department of Business, Economic Development and Tourism (DBEDT), the official compiler of visitor data, does not as yet break-down the ';new'; vs. ';return'; visitor count on an island-by-island basis.





But during the past 30 years the trend toward escalating numbers of repeat visitors is inescapable. Hawaii is no longer a ';once in a lifetime'; experience.





In 2007, 68% of domestic and 53% international travelers were repeat visitors to the state.





For complete visitor statistics see:





hawaii.gov/dbedt/info/visitor-stats/tourism/




JC, very nice display and description of tourism data, and this post is meant to be a positive encouragement. So please, no one else needs to read this and get mad at me...





Just a couple of thoughts, assuming you have input into the graphs and narrative on the site provided.





A pie chart is not an appropriate format to display the visitor totals for the various islands. The number of visitors shown in the chart is greater than the universe of data, as many visitors go to more than one island.





The chart shows a cumulative count of visitors to the various islands at 9,998,281, while the actual arrival count into the state only totals 7,368,048 (the ';pie'; which is being divided). If you did it on a total visitor days basis and divided it between the islands, a pie chart could be accurate.





You might want to consider putting a little more emphasis on the two factors that are THE most important to the relative health of the industry ';visitor days'; and ';visitor expenditures'; (the latter of which must be taken with a large grain of salt). If there are more visitor days and more money being spent annually over the long-term, the industry is healthy regardless of any other factors; such as mere arrival totals.





And, the goal of many government planners is to increase ';days'; and ';spending'; while limiting (or even decreasing) arrival counts.





Also, in your narrative you might want to discuss tourism ';capacities'; of the islands and how that will effect future trends. Maui and Oahu basically reached the carrying capacity of their visitor plant years ago, have few remaining competitive development opportunities, and so do not have the statistical fluctuations or upside growth potentials seen on Kauai, which thanks to growth in 2007 has now about reached its capacity pending completion of on-going development.




Mahalo amber. I%26#39;ll admit my analysis is definitely in need of some improvement. I appreciate your suggestions and will definitely try and work them in as best I can without error. I honestly have learned a lot about the economy, government, and tourism in Hawai`i from your posts, so I definitely appreciate the input. As for my pie chart, I basically was looking for a way to show island arrival by the numbers to visitors (even though I agree it%26#39;s not technically correct for many reasons). I%26#39;ll try and figure out a more appropriate way to display that information.




JC this is welcomed information, I hope you can find the time to expand it in the directions suggested because it is fascinating information. When I first viewed the chart for Arrivals by Month I was initially stunned at the low numbers for January and February until I read amberloo%26#39;s post. What I find on the Big Island of Hawai%26#39;i (in my limited condos in Kailua-Kona area knowledge) is that from Dec 15 - mid April I find we get many more return guests who stay much longer. In the summer spike which we see just prior to the July 4th weekend and going into early August, guests are more the in and out crowd staying 3 - 5 nights and island hopping. This is why many condos offer a discounted weeks stay. I would be interested to find out which of these two types of guests spend more, I would guess the hoppers... More importantly which type of visitor has a lower impact on the land. I am seeing more and more ';Baby Boomers'; returning year after year for 3 - 5 weeks in the winter, similar to their Florida ';Snow Birds'; parents have done.




The question ov visitor impact, has been a discussion with many land managers, when I was associated with agencies like the NPS.





What was found was that the 20 to 30 age group has the biggest impact on a resources health and well being Whereas the 50+ age group had the least.





The younger more active group, is less affluent but vastly more active...Their activites are the least revenue producing, but require the highest demands on a parks fiscal resources. In essence it is all the remaining populace financing this smaller group.





In Kona this is very well illistrated, in the Ironman...which is attended by large numbers of economaily challenged visitors. The physical impact is huge and not really compensated for by the return...on a percapitia basis. Many shop owners loath the time as a royal pain....





There has too been a several decade rise in the ';adventure'; travel idea. Breaking away the traditional forms of recreation.



30 years ago Mountaineering and Rock Climbing were extremely tiny, Now it is huge business, Biking, Treking,have followed suit. These younger travlers dont want to do tours, do fine dining, or stay in nice hotels.



They want to do it themselves...and as cheaply as possible, and do as much as possible in the shortest time.....they look to push for the extreme, the unusual. I see this on Kauia...



Maui however as Amderloo pointed out , has saturated.





The impact to the islands, any islands, are not the 66% who sit at the beach it is the 33% who are not happy to do that and seek to push to any extreme.





This trend was seen in the NPS in the 80%26#39;s when quotas were established to prevent wholesale destruction of a resource.



Its not the condos in Poipu that should worry, its the increase in visitors without an equal increase in the funds and revenue necessary to mitigate the impact.





Less days, Less people and more money is the key to preservation. Not very idealistic but in the big picture it is reality....sort of Thoreau meets Capitalism.












Wow, this starts to get somewhat confusing when doing the numbers. Maybe I%26#39;m making it harder than I need to. I think I finally have it straight.





I made a graph using their data for 2007 ';Total Visitor Days'; and I made it per island. The total days were 5,705,507.





Big Island (901,915 Days) - 16%



Maui (1,515,560) - 27%



Kaua`i (696,403) - 12%



Oahu (2,526,062) - 44%



Lana`i (29,722) - 0%



Moloka`i (35,826) - 1%





And when I think about it, that does make a lot more sense. A person can only be on any one island at a given time (any given day). But they could arrive on two separate islands in the same trip, thus inflating that ';arrival'; number.





Overall the percentages didn%26#39;t change much, though Maui did jump 3% (in comparison to arrival data, so I guess that means folks stay longer on Maui regardless of where they arrive)?





Mahalo again for explaining this amber. I appreciate it.

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